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October Long Time Ago in Arabia and the UAE

Almost certainly, October is generally a calm and dry month, marking the transition between summer and winter with almost no rainfall in the UAE. During a normal October, cold fronts are still far away (somewhere in the Middeteranian), the Indian Monsoon is retreating, and tropical lows in the Arabian Sea could be forming (sometimes). So, the UAE and the Arabian Gulf countries become largely islolated from any notable weather forces. But there have been a few of extreme October months in Arabia long time ago. In fact, October proved to be a month where winter and tropical rain are both possible in the UAE even if our average rainfall is zero. Of course, our average is not based on long-term data.

October 1997:

During exceptionally wet winters, October cold fronts are possible but extremely rare. The last time UAE had an October cold front with measurable rainfall was in 1997, which could be our only measurable winter rainfall in October for the last 20-30 years (with only a trace recorded in 1995 and 2000). And I’m not talking about mountainous afternoon thunderstorms that form regulary during the warm months in the UAE.

October 1997 rainfall

October 1997 rainfall

October 1948:

This was a strange October. Apparently … Continue reading October Long Time Ago in Arabia and the UAE »»»

Autumn, a Transitional Phase in the UAE

Astronomical autumn has begun on Sep 22, when the sun shines directly on the equator. Expect shorter days in the UAE as the sun’s direct rays get closer to the Tropic of Capricorn (due to happen by Dec 22), announcing the start of astronomical winter.

(Source: Accuweather.com)

(Source: Accuweather.com)

Weather-wise, October is generally hot and humid with comfortable nights during dry non-humid days (which are few). Cold fronts in the UAE during October are rare. But during November (especially late), you can expect some … Continue reading Autumn, a Transitional Phase in the UAE »»»

First Widespread Autumn Rain over Iran

Well, the first plunge of the jet stream in Southwest Asia is due to happen from Thursday to Monday. An upper 500mb low will form as well, giving way to rainfall over Western Iran. This seems to be the first cold front of the season. Hopefully it will be a sign for a winter that is more active.

… Continue reading First Widespread Autumn Rain over Iran »»»