Update:
At least 24 people have died in Oman due to Cyclone Phet
Update:
Cyclone Phet is leaving Oman now and moving to Pakistan. It will reach Pakistan late Sat/early Sunday as a weak tropical storm/depression and not a cyclone. Parts of SE Iran could get some rain from the storm as well.
Phet also caused high waves along UAE east coast.
Update:
Cyclone Phet made landfall over Oman eastern coast. Now it is over the interior regions of eastern Oman. Highest rainfall so far more than 300mm, with Sur getting around 250mm of rain.
The eye of Phet makes landfall on Oman eastern coast:
Where? Somwhere between north of Masirah island and Sur city. But clouds extending 200 to 300 Km outside the eye will gurantee storm conditions in all of Oman eastern coast regardless whether the eye hits or not. The eye right now is very close to Masirah island and it must be incredibly stormy there now.
When: the eye of Phet will make landfall during the first 12 hours of Friday. But stormy conditions have already started gaining momentum in most of Oman eastern coasts as storm clouds extend at least 200 Km outside of the eye.
How much rain for Oman?
anywhere from 100 mm to 500mm or much more accumulation of rain over Phet path.
Winds?
The eye will pack winds between 150 Km/hr and possibly closer to 200 Km/hr. Many areas of eastern Oman will experience winds around 100 Km/hr.
Tornadoes as well?
Yes why not, cyclones do produce tornadoes sometimes
Storm surge?
High storm surge and huge waves to batter Oman eastern coast. Large waves (but not as severe) could also reach UAE east coast.
What does the eye pack?
The area surrounding the eye (eye wall) contains the higest winds and the strongest thunderstorms (probably right now on earth) with flooding rain and huge storm surge. Wherever the eye hits, it is a total mess.







Very Informative Ahmed…..Thanks.
a storm is like my son! it will go where it wishes! cannot predict. eh? scary though i am in sohar. praying for all… hope gonu is not revisited…. i wasn’t in oman then….
Thanx Ahmed, U have been a gr8 help all along… Take care, god bless u.
What abt your prediction for next depression in arbian sea after phet?
Hi Demon,
Honestly I can’t deny the fact that I’m following this closely. There are good signs that there could tropical trouble later next week. Before Phet, weather computer models showed something similar. But computer models sometimes over-estimate weather events. However, it seems conditions are favorable once again for another storm to develop. Nevertheless, it will be clearer by this weekend. BUT, all countries in the Arabian Sea should keep an eye on what happens next week.
Ok.. Let see, what happens next week..