Jun 3rd 10AM GMT update:
Phet clouds have started bringing heavy rain and gusty winds to a large part of coastal Oman especially Masirah island. Dangerous weather conditions to affect the area there.
Most models predict Phet to move NE soon after entering Oman, but there are signs from US models it will continue moving NW, multiplying the amount of rain falling over Oman.
Jun 3 9AM GMT update:
Cyclone Phet to make landfall on the eastern coast of Oman (as a category2-4) Friday AM around the area of Maisrah island, then its expected to move over the coast towards Sur. But heavy rain and high winds will extend 200 or 300 Km around the eye.
Jun 3 4AM GMT update
Cyclone Phet to make landfall on Oman eastern coast tonight (thu Jun 3) as a weaker category 2 or 3 cyclone but still very dangerous.
June2, 3PM GMT update:
Cyclone Phet to hit Oman as a full fledged category 3-5 cyclones with destruction possible around the path of the eye.
Phet updated track
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Jun 2, 1PM GMT update:
Cyclone Phet to graze Oman coast as a category 5 cyclone. Even if the eye (which packs winds more than 220 Km/hr) stays offshore, the clouds extending out of the cyclone will hit easternmost Oman. There is a small possibility that the eye makes landfall over easternmost Oman, bringing deadly weather conditions!
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June 2, 8AM GMT:
Cyclone Phet (category 3 now) and will reach category 4 on Thu Jun 3, 2010.
Phet will either
1- move NW very close to Oman easternmost coast, bring heavy rain, high winds, and high waves to easternmost Oman, or
2- make landfall over easternmost coast of Oman with destructive winds, flooding rain, and significant storm surge to a large part of eastern Oman.
June 2, 6AM GMT update:
Cyclone Phet will soon be a category 4 cyclone. Potential impact on Oman.
Cyclone Phet is expected to take one of 2 possible scenarios:
1- stay offshore Oman coast and curve NE towarda pakistan
2- continue moving NW and make landfall on Oman east coast, before curving NE towarda Pakistan
Nevertheless, Oman east coast is under the threat of heavy rain, gusty winds, and high waves even if the cyclone stays offshore.
June 1st evening update:
Tropical storm Phet in the Arabian Sea is now upgraded to a cyclone . It packs winds of 120 km/hr or more around its centre. Pakistan and india are likely targets. But I can’t rule out a few side effects on Oman.
June 1 st update:
Cyclone Phet will continue moving N/NW during the next 24 hours, before curving NE towards Pakistan/Indian coasts. It is expected to strengthen to potentially category 2 cyclone. Wherever the eye makes landfall, severe damage due to destructive winds and flooding rain is possible. Meanwhile, easternmost of Oman could get affected by some rainy clouds, fresh winds, and high waves.
Cyclone Phet and its eye
June 2, 8AM GMT:
hi kaf al goooo makm
Al ain and border wid oman and fujairah wl b affected as per the models…but it can bring some pleasant rain to sharjah,dubai and othr emirates…God knows…but might happen…
Ok folks,
Your questions are being answered now.
Your questions are answered here
http://wp.me/pG0jp-ot
Paul,
High waves along Fujairah coast can’t be ruled out.
Thanks Ahmed.
It is about time the met office in Abu Dhabi stopped saying there is no risk to the UAE as Fujairah is a big emirate of the UAE!
We had this last time with Gono same time of year and there were high tides also, it was not the wind or rain but the high swell and high tides that caused the damage.
Again the Met office said there was no risk to the UAE then, and it was only on day 2 of Gono that they admitted there was a risk of flooding.
how much CM of rain would we expect in muscat per hour?
If it comes close to Muscat, there could be anywhere from 50mm to 100mm (with +-50%). It all depends on the track of Phet, which is expected to come closer to Muscat now.
Hi, is it true that there is another storm brewing in the arabia sea? Is there any credible prediction regarding that… Will Oman be affected if the rumou was true?..thanks.
Hi Salim,
Take it easy. No storm right now or for the next 5-7 days.
June is known for storms in the Arabian Sea, and most of them hit India.
We need to constantly follow weather conditions in the Arabian Sea.
The only thing I can tell is that during the next 2 weeks, conditions are a bit favorable for a storm to develop in the Arabian Sea which is very normal for this time of the year. But that doesn’t mean it will happen.
Please follow my updates, as I will post something about it if storm development becomes more certain.
Thank you Ahmed. I will (insha allah) keep reading your posting.