2010 February | Emirates Meteorology Blog

Speculation of the next Low in Arabia

February 21st, 2010

Feb 26, 2010 Update:

Saturday to bring showers and thunderstorms to the UAE and then northen Oman on Sunday.

Late Monday to Tuesday there is risk of very heavy rain and strong thunderstorms in parts of the UAE and Oman.

Feb 24, 2010 Update:

It seems that there will be 2 waves of rain affecting the region. The first one being on Saturday with impact on the UAE. There will be possibly some scattered showers and a few thunderstorms on parts of the UAE along the Arabian Gulf. Then the impact might move to eastern UAE and Oman early Sunday.

The 2nd wave of rain could contain heavy thunderstorms forming on Monday till Tuesday. Some models predicitng it to hit the UAE and others show Oman as a target. Some models predict the storms to be exceptionally heavy with lots of rain.

Friday could be hot with temperaturs raching 35 with the possibility of a sandstorm.

In all cases UAE and Oman should keep an eye on the developing weather.

Saturday Feb 27 2010 500mb upper air heights. Tight contours around the UAE.

Tuesday Mar 2nd, 2010 500mb upper air heights. The upper low gets closer to the UAE and Oman

Feb 21, 2010 Update

This post is going to be continuously updated and it is about the possibility of a spring low pressure system that could impact various parts of the Arabian Peninsula.

I’m must emphasize that I’m more than 50% confident of thunderstorm and rain formation somewhere over thr Arabian Gulf sometime between Feb 27 and March 2nd. However, I’m less than 40% sure of the impact on the UAE. The weather models are not agreeing on a certain scenario so far!

We shall wait and see.

Expect very warm weather on Friday Feb 26, as a developing low forces winds to blow from the south, before the potential arrival of an active cold front!

Where is my Cool February?!

February 15th, 2010

A high pressure blocking the arrival of low pressure systems

The weather will take on a warming trend during the next several days across the Arabian Peninsula with above average temperatures.

Day time temperature to hover around late 20s or even early 30s in inland areas
Average February high temperature is 25c!
Very settled weather with foggy mornings
For how long? Quite long I guess
We need a storm to break this stagnant weather pattern and the walls of an ugly High pressure system roaming around
Expect a change in weather patterns by late February or after 20th Feb during which long-term forecasts are calling for the arrival of weather troughs creating the potential for unstable weather conditions
We are nearing the end of winter in the UAE in terms of temperature. But rain-wise, the chance continues till late March, a month known for violent thunderstorms should they occur

Heavy Thunderstorms Hit Ras Al Khaymah (UAE) and Oman Feb 5-7, 2010

February 9th, 2010

RAK Wadis flooded Feb 6 2010 (image source: GulfNews)

The cold front that has swept through the UAE and Oman generated a widespread cloud cover with showers in some parts of the UAE. However, in northern UAE especially in Ras Al Khaymah heavy thunderstorms produced heavy rain and flooded the wadis there, resulting in 2 casualities and forcing the authorities to rescue more than 300 people stranded in RAK Wadis. Rainfall amounts exceeded 60mm in some parts of RAK.